Nissan announced that they plan to sell autonomous vehicles to the public by 2020. However, Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn has over-promised before. He overestimated electric-vehicle sales and recently said Nissan would double US sales by 2017. This would give them a sales level close to that of Ford.
Autonomous cars have been expected soon ever since the pulp science magazines of the 1950s. But they aren’t here yet, and are unlikely to become generally available this decade. The technology is actually close, but obstacles remain.
The first is ai??i?? obstacles. Programming a car to handle predictable obstacles, road signs, and other vehicles is probably possible today. Training the vehicle for unpredictable events such as illegible signs, erratic drivers, and obscured visibility will not be as easy.
People like to be in charge and they don’t trust machines. Convincing people to hand over the steering wheel will be tough. But, what happens when some of the autonomous cars get into accidents? People being people, those involved will probably not trust a car’s judgment again.
Are autonomous cars even legal? California and Nevada have new regulations that “legalize” autonomous cars. Some experts, like Bryant Walker Smith of Stanford Law School, feel that current laws don’t disallow autonomous vehicles. But, how to assign fault when one (or more) autonomous vehicles are in an accident? Is the human driver responsible if she didn’t override the controls?
All of these issues must be addressed before Nissan can deliver on their announcement.
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